Toasty

Just recently looked at scores after attending this contest yesterday, and am I the only one shocked about Emerson and the colony not making finals? It really was great seeing a lot of new faces but just genuinely confused what happened? I even saw someone post here earlier the colony got put as a state qualifier in a specific caption but 21st in another???

I definitely agree with this prediction, of offense to reedy or other band that are having a great season, but I feel like there are so many reedy kids in this form that skyrocket their band up. Doesn’t mean that they can’t place that high, just think this might be the most accurate.

As I also put in my post, I used past area results for a lot of my placements, and in the past Mcn has placed higher than Reedy, reedy still could do better than them, just using a lot of past area results for this.

Yeah I definitely do agree with the way you put it, this comp definitely is way more competitive than years in the past and really it comes down to how they perform at area. In past years we’ve kinda known who would be 1-4 with maybe the chance of others doing better, but this year that 3rd and 4th spot could literally go to anyone

Getting less than a week until area I decided to post an updated prediction list. 1. Wakeland 2. Lone Star 3. LT (people say reedy will do a lot better than them but in my opinion that comp was all back in October 5th and a lot of Changed since then between LT and Reedy). 4. Argyle/The Colony/MCN 5.Argyle/The Colony/ MCN 6.Argyle/The Colony/MCN My reasoning for these placements are that argyle has had a really good season/ show this year and visually are very clean. I’ve seen a LOT of people have the Colony very low on the finalist list which doesn’t really make that much sense to me considering the fact over the past 2 years they’ve consistently placed 5 and 6 at this area, and I’m a strong believer they will stay at this range this year again. With MCN I could see them a little lower this year just because looking at their show it’s kinda been a repetition of what we’ve seen a lot in the past, and it’s a lot of moving and playing while forgetting the marching aspect. 7. Reedy (I could see them getting maybe 6th or 5th, but not as high as I’ve seen some people put on their list, they have had a really good season this year though so I could see them higher than they are) 8. Walnut grove (Just like reedy I could also see them being higher on this list just because of how good they’ve done this season, but I’m using a lot of my basis for ranking off of what I’ve seen in the past with average placements, and with this being a newer school it’s hard to base where they’ll land) 9. Emerson (Emerson has also had a pretty good year this year compared to others but going off of score differences I’ve seen between the people Emerson has gone against, I don’t really think they’ll pass any of the other bands seen above them, though I could be wrong and with the week going up to area they could surprise me) 10.Independence (after missing out on finals last year due to I think sound issues I 100% see them coming back into finals again this year) Again this is just my thoughts and opinions, I could be completely wrong from what other people think

Using the same logic of putting LT above reedy despite reedy placing higher in Wylie, why is the Colony so much lower than Emerson? When In prelims of Birdville they beat Emerson by 19 points and only lost to them by 3 in finals?

I’m new to this kind of stuff but I could see rankings as 1. Wakeland 2. Lone star 3. MN/lebanon trail 4. MN/ Lebanon trail/ 5. The colony 6. Argyle 7. Emerson 8. Walnut grove 9. Reedy 10. Independence again my list could be totally wrong, I’m just going off of placements from comps and previous years. Lmk if anyone has any thoughts or opinions on my list.