UIL Area predictions

[Centex_band_mom]

  thatguybob said:

CTJ is also known as the Lady Bird Johnson HS. They are scheduled to play at 5:30 pm

 

Thanks! Very good to know.

[whitewing09]

  thatguybob said:

Great bands at Region 18 today! I want to start seeing more predictions on Area D. They have the schedule posted here:

 

http://www.uilmusicregion18.com/pdfs/2012_...Preliminary.pdf

 

Though it may not be the updated schedule by the time you view it.

 

Are there 39 bands in area D? Such a shame there isn't just one more band.. so that they could send off 8 instead of 7.

[principalagent]

There's 39 total. Only 34 qualified to this weekend's competition.

 

I attended Region 18's contest last night. Bowie was on another level than the rest of the 5A bands. Westlake and Anderson were both impeccably clean and should do well both this Saturday, at BOA San Antonio, and hopefully at the SMBC. Hendrickson was also very strong and could sneak into one of the qualifying spots and BOA finals next weekend.

[Drum major]

  T.Stechnij said:

Wow. I can't predict what is going to happen. The more and more I think about Bowie the more I am starting to doubt they will get first. I am having so much troubles putting Lake Travis, Ronald Reagan and Round Rock in the mix. They all seem solid but one of them can miss.

I would love to be a spectator of Area D. Competing in it is a whole different story.

 

 

So having trouble interperting your comment "I am having so much troubles putting Lake Travis, Ronald Reagan and Round Rock in the mix"... Are you stating that IYO...you put these bands in a "bubble" of even making state?

[T.Stechnij]

  Drum major said:

So having trouble interperting your comment "I am having so much troubles putting Lake Travis, Ronald Reagan and Round Rock in the mix"... Are you stating that IYO...you put these bands in a "bubble" of even making state?

 

Ummm. Well, half of if it could be me trying to ensure that my program has a spot but I would say that Lake Travis and Westlake are both in the bubbles. I think if Round Rock gets to finals they are the strongest in the bubble but... If they have a weak performance they could lose that finals spot. They perform first out of 34 bands they need to wow the judges, which, they are more than capable of. I have no idea where Ronald Reagan will go. IMO: Locks; Claudia Taylor Johnson and James Bowie. Strong Bubble; Westlake, Round Rock. Weak Bubble; Cedar Ridge, Lake Travis, Ronald Reagan, Anderson and Hendrickson.

Edited October 24, 2012 by T.Stechnij

[AtxBrass123]

Rough performance spot for Round Rock! But im sure it wont phase them. Looks like CTJ, Reagen, and McNeil have good performance spots.

[Drum major]

  AtxBrass123 said:

Rough performance spot for Round Rock! But im sure it wont phase them. Looks like CTJ, Reagen, and McNeil have good performance spots.

 

 

Playing first is a good news, bad news scenario... Rock Rock being as strong as they are will undoubtable be prepared to play, even if it is a 830. ..... That being said, if they march their show without a flaw then they set the standard in which all bands that follow must either be better than or not. If they march strong, which they will, expect the score to be somewhat high - but not high enough that another band can't pass it. IMO playing first is the best spot, your the memory, everyone else is compared to you.

[AtxBrass123]

  Drum major said:

Playing first is a good news, bad news scenario... Rock Rock being as strong as they are will undoubtable be prepared to play, even if it is a 830. ..... That being said, if they march their show without a flaw then they set the standard in which all bands that follow must either be better than or not. If they march strong, which they will, expect the score to be somewhat high - but not high enough that another band can't pass it. IMO playing first is the best spot, your the memory, everyone else is compared to you.

 

Great Point!!!

[Donezo]

I always remind people who complain about early times that Friendswood and Poteet were the first two bands to perform in prelims at 4A State in 2005, and they remained the top two bands all day long. If you put on a strong enough performance, you won't get lost in the shuffle.

[ch1k3n123]

  Drum major said:

Playing first is a good news, bad news scenario... Rock Rock being as strong as they are will undoubtable be prepared to play, even if it is a 830. ..... That being said, if they march their show without a flaw then they set the standard in which all bands that follow must either be better than or not. If they march strong, which they will, expect the score to be somewhat high - but not high enough that another band can't pass it. IMO playing first is the best spot, your the memory, everyone else is compared to you.

 

The inconsistencies in individuals really makes it hard to make a statement like this, but I'm sure once it's drilled into the heads that the show needs to be the best thing that anyone has ever seen to even have a chance at finals, then your statement will be valid. It's just that the shows aren't quite as solid, with many individual mistakes such as missed horns ups, foot timings, etc. Of course this could be said about any school, it's just a race to see which bands clean the fastest. And that of course boils down to each and every kid's willpower to achieve greatness.

 

Plus it's supposed to be pretty cold, hope the early bands aren't hit with massive tuning problems!

[Chupacabra1222]

  Donezo said:

I always remind people who complain about early times that Friendswood and Poteet were the first two bands to perform in prelims at 4A State in 2005, and they remained the top two bands all day long. If you put on a strong enough performance, you won't get lost in the shuffle.

Not true..... If you have a name that's recognizable as a consistent top finisher you'll survive the early time slot. I've been on both sides of the coin and it depends upon the mindset of the judging. If judges follow the rubric (guideline written by UIL) and not use median scoring then a group going first stands a chance. In the case of the Area Marching Contests, I feel that the judges do a better job of scoring evenly over the entire period of a day than at State. The reason for this I believe is that judges are chosen from accross the state for Area Contest that have been trained and judged in the UIL Rubric. At State, there is a good mix of those that have been trained and others from out of state/retired. I think UIL tries to get rid of politics by hiring from out of state and college, yet the results do not always reflect the training you see at the lower levels. Case in point Round Rock was 5th in Music and 25th in Music in 2010.... I believe also they were 5th and 25th in Marching as well.... Consistency? Not so much.... That said, I believe the judges get the top of the order correct each year.

 

I believe in Area D Round Rock is a Lock for State even if they are on 1st.... They're a top 10 band in the State this year in my opinion. I think you could say the same thing about Bowie and Johnson.... All three bands may very well be in the top 10 this year.

[BOAfanatic]

  Chupacabra1222 said:

Not true..... If you have a name that's recognizable as a consistent top finisher you'll survive the early time slot. I've been on both sides of the coin and it depends upon the mindset of the judging. If judges follow the rubric (guideline written by UIL) and not use median scoring then a group going first stands a chance. In the case of the Area Marching Contests, I feel that the judges do a better job of scoring evenly over the entire period of a day than at State. The reason for this I believe is that judges are chosen from accross the state for Area Contest that have been trained and judged in the UIL Rubric. At State, there is a good mix of those that have been trained and others from out of state/retired. I think UIL tries to get rid of politics by hiring from out of state and college, yet the results do not always reflect the training you see at the lower levels. Case in point Round Rock was 5th in Music and 25th in Music in 2010.... I believe also they were 5th and 25th in Marching as well.... Consistency? Not so much.... That said, I believe the judges get the top of the order correct each year.

 

I believe in Area D Round Rock is a Lock for State even if they are on 1st.... They're a top 10 band in the State this year in my opinion. I think you could say the same thing about Bowie and Johnson.... All three bands may very well be in the top 10 this year.

 

 

I think that so long as the band members don't let the fact that they are going first affect them negatively, there really is not much of a disadvantage to going first. I've performed first at a UIL 5A area marching contest before and placed second out of all of the bands the entire day.

Edited October 25, 2012 by BOAfanatic

[souhyeahdrums]

  karenkk1 said:

Area E: Cypress Falls, Cy-Fair, Clements, and Langham Creek, not in any particular order

 

Other finalists: Cy-Creek, Seven Lakes, Cinco Ranch, Cy-Woods, Cy-Ridge, and Morton Ranch, again not in any particular order

 

Im not sure I agree. I've heard and seen things that would suggest that clements' and langham creek's spots are anything but secure (that goes for everyone, but especially those two)

[GBMELLO]

Does anyone know what the performance order for state is? I know they do a drawing for the order so, for example, the 3rd place from Area C marches at this time, and stuff like that. Anyone know where I could find that info?

[Mission2112]

  drummerjoe said:

I'm working at the Area D contest, and the schedule will come out Tuesday night. That's when the last region contest for our Area is. I've heard there will be as many as 39 bands going to Area D, so I'd say expect 7 finalists from Area D this year.

 

My own personal finalist predictions:

 

Bowie

CTJ

Round Rock

Westlake (They ALWAYS get in. Dunno why.)

Reagan

Anderson?

Cedar Ridge?

 

? = bubble bands, but the ones I hope make it

 

Can you please elaborate on what you mean by this? Are you implying that their advancement this year or previous years is somehow not based on the merit of their music or marching performance? I'm curious.

[mellopwn1]

  Mission2112 said:

Can you please elaborate on what you mean by this? Are you implying that their advancement this year or previous years is somehow not based on the merit of their music or marching performance? I'm curious.

 

I think he meant it in a "Little Engine that Could" sort of way. Everyone always counts them out, but they always manage to pull through to state finals.

[Szuzzah]

Or, more accurately, you don't hear anything about them all season long until the end, where the work they've made throughout the season is shown in full. They didn't compete in many competitions, but they have clean drill and good music. Like I said, they just fly under the radar until the end of the season every year.